Based on the last 12 Retail Sales MoM events in United States, we expect EURUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect EURUSD to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 2025-07-17 12:30 if the released value is > 0.1%. A price movement of 31 pips is expected.
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
15 May 12:30 |
15 Nov 13:30 |
17 Oct 12:30 |
17 Sep 12:30 |
15 Aug 12:30 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
