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We expect EURUSD to trend downwards today with a 66.67% chance.

Based on the last 12 BoC Interest Rate Decision events in Canada, we expect EURUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect EURUSD to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-04-16 13:45 if the released value is = 2.75%. A price movement of 26 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

11 Dec 14:45
23 Oct 13:45
24 Jul 13:45
05 Jun 13:45
10 Apr 13:45
24 Jan 14:45
06 Dec 15:00
25 Oct 14:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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Because LTCUSD formed a Falling Wedge pattern, we expect it to touch the support line. If it breaks through support it may move much lower

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We expect a $155 movement on UB within 4 hours following the event release at 2025-04-16 13:45.

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