We expect EURUSD to trend downwards for the next 4 hours. Based on these past United States Housing Starts news events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect this to happen because the released value is > 1.445M. A price movement of 29 pips is expected.
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
19 Apr 12:30![]() |
16 Dec 13:30![]() |
21 Sep 12:30![]() |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).