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We expect EURUSD to trend downwards right now.

Based on past United Kingdom Retail Sales MoM news events there is a 66.67% chance of EURUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is > 0.2%. A price movement of 25 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

28 Mar 07:00
21 Feb 07:00
18 Oct 06:00
20 Sep 06:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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ASX 200 formed a Channel Up on the 15 Minutes chart. Retest of resistance in sight.

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