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We expect EURUSD to trend downwards for the next 12 hours.

Based on past Germany Ifo Business Climate news events there is a 75% chance of EURUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is > 85.6. A price movement of 21 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

26 Aug 08:00
22 Mar 09:00
25 Oct 08:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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