Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Prel events in Germany, we expect ES to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > 1.4%
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
30 Jul 12:00 |
27 Jun 12:00 |
28 Feb 13:00 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).