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We expect ES to trend upwards today with a 70% chance.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Prel events in Italy, we expect ES to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 70% chance of this. We expect ES to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 2024-10-31 10:00 if the released value is < 1%. A price movement of 51 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Aug 09:00
28 Jun 09:00
30 Apr 09:00
29 Mar 10:00
01 Feb 10:00
30 Nov 10:00
31 Oct 10:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect USDJPY to trend upwards today.

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We expect a $1130 movement on GBPUSD within the next 48 hours.

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