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We expect ES to trend upwards today.

Based on past United States PPI MoM news events there is a 71.43% chance of ES trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 0.2%. A price movement of 158 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

12 Jun 12:30
15 May 12:30
11 Apr 12:30
11 Oct 12:30
13 Aug 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $370 movement on NZDUSD within the next 12 hours.

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