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We expect ES to trend downwards today with a 80% chance.

We expect a $78681 movement on ES within 12 hours following the release of Inflation Rate YoY at 2024-02-26 23:30. We expect ES to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 2024-02-26 23:30 if the released value is > 2.1%. A price movement of 1550 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

21 Dec 23:30
23 Nov 23:30
17 Aug 23:30
23 Feb 23:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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