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We expect ES to trend downwards today with a 71.43% chance.

Based on the last 12 GDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv events in Italy, we expect a 50 pip movement on ES within 2 hours following the event release at 2025-01-30 09:00. We expect ES to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 2025-01-30 09:00 if the released value is > 0.1%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Apr 08:00
30 Jan 09:00
28 Apr 08:00
31 Jan 10:00
31 Jan 10:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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There is a 71.43% chance of GBPUSD trending downwards

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We expect a 113 pip movement on GBPUSD within 12 hours following the event release.

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