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We expect EMD to trend downwards today with a 80% chance.

Based on past Canada Ivey PMI s.a news events there is a 80% chance of EMD trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 54.2. A price movement of 422 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

06 Sep 14:00
07 Aug 14:00
06 Jun 14:00
06 Nov 15:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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