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We expect CRD to trend upwards today with a 66.67% chance.

Based on the last 12 Tankan Large Manufacturers Index events in Japan, we expect CRD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect CRD to trend upwards 48 hours following the event release at 2025-09-30 23:50 if the released value is < 15. A price movement of 449 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

02 Apr 23:50
02 Oct 23:50

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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