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We expect C to trend upwards today with a 71.43% chance.

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Germany, we expect a $3382337 movement on C within 12 hours following the event release at 2025-09-08 06:00. We expect C to trend upwards 12 hours following the event release at 2025-09-08 06:00 if the released value is < €15.4B Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 Aug 06:00
06 Jun 06:00
13 Dec 07:00
07 Nov 07:00
06 Sep 06:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $470 movement on NZDUSD within 12 hours following the release of Balance of Trade.

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We expect a $3646 movement on OJ within 2 hours following the event release at 2025-09-08 06:00.

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