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We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards today with a 75% chance.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Prel events in France, we expect a 13 pip movement on AUDUSD within 48 hours following the event release at 2025-02-28 07:45. We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards 48 hours following the event release at 2025-02-28 07:45 if the released value is > 1%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

31 Oct 07:45
30 Apr 06:45
29 Feb 07:45

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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