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We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards today with a 75% chance.

Based on the last 12 Retail Sales MoM events in United Kingdom, we expect AUDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-06-20 06:00 if the released value is < -0.5%. A price movement of 10 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Jan 07:00
20 Dec 07:00
19 Jul 06:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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