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We expect a 89 pip movement on UB within 4 hours following the event release.

Based on the last 12 BoE Interest Rate Decision events in United Kingdom, we expect a 89 pip movement on UB within 4 hours following the event release at 24 Jun 11:00 UTC. We expect UB to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 24 Jun 11:00 UTC if the released value is = 0.1%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

06 May 11:00
18 Mar 12:00
17 Dec 12:00
17 Sep 11:00
06 Aug 06:00
18 Jun 11:00
30 Jan 12:00
19 Dec 12:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a 0 pip movement on 6A for the next 2 hours.

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We expect CL to trend upwards today with a 80% chance.

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