Based on the last 12 Durable Goods Orders MoM events in United States, we expect USDJPY to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect USDJPY to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-07-25 12:30 if the released value is < -10.8%. A price movement of 119 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
28 Jan 13:30![]() |
23 Dec 14:30![]() |
25 Jul 12:30![]() |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).