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We expect a $8.912 movement on SI within 4 hours following the event release at 29 Oct 12:45.

Based on the last 12 ECB Interest Rate Decision events in Euro Area, we expect a $8.912 movement on SI within 4 hours following the event release at 29 Oct 12:45. We expect SI to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 29 Oct 12:45 if the released value is = 0%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

04 Jun 11:45
30 Apr 11:45
12 Mar 12:45
12 Dec 12:45
12 Sep 11:45
25 Jul 11:45
06 Jun 11:45
10 Apr 11:45

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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There is a 66.67% chance of SI trending downwards

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We expect a 5 pip movement on AC for the next 4 hours.

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