Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Germany, we expect a 77 pip movement on EURUSD within 48 hours following the event release at 2025-07-08 06:00. We expect EURUSD to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 2025-07-08 06:00 if the released value is > €15.5B
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
08 May 06:00 |
07 Feb 07:00 |
09 Jan 07:00 |
09 Oct 06:00 |
08 Jul 06:00 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
