Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Flash events in Euro Area, we expect a 54 pip movement on USDCHF within 12 hours following the event release at 2025-10-01 09:00. We expect USDCHF to trend upwards 12 hours following the event release at 2025-10-01 09:00 if the released value is = 2.2%
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
01 Jul 09:00 |
07 Jan 10:00 |
29 Nov 10:00 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
