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We expect a 6,509 pip movement on EMD within 12 hours following the event release.

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in United States, we expect a 6,509 pip movement on EMD within 12 hours following the event release at 02 Apr 12:30 UTC. We expect EMD to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 02 Apr 12:30 UTC if the released value is > $-40B

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

06 Mar 13:30
07 Jan 13:30
05 Dec 13:30
17 Apr 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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