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We expect a 607 pip movement on YM within 48 hours following the event release.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in United Kingdom, we expect a 607 pip movement on YM within 48 hours following the event release at 2025-07-16 06:00. We expect YM to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 2025-07-16 06:00 if the released value is > 3.4%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

21 May 06:00
19 Feb 07:00
17 Jul 06:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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