We expect a 550 pip movement on ES within 48 hours following the event release.

Based on the last 12 Durable Goods Orders MoM events in United States, we expect a 550 pip movement on ES within 48 hours following the event release at 2025-06-26 12:30. We expect ES to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 2025-06-26 12:30 if the released value is > 8.5%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

26 Mar 12:30

27 Feb 13:30

25 Oct 12:30

26 Sep 12:30

26 Aug 12:30

27 Jun 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).