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We expect a $530 movement on NZDUSD within 2 hours following the release of Fed Interest Rate Decision.

Based on past United States Fed Interest Rate Decision news events there is a 72.73% chance of NZDUSD trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is = 4.5%. A price movement of 53 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 Nov 19:00
31 Jul 18:00
01 May 18:00
20 Mar 18:00
13 Dec 19:00
01 Nov 18:00
26 Jul 18:00
14 Jun 18:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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There is a 80% chance of SM trending upwards

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We expect a 48 pip movement on SM for the next 12 hours.

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