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We expect a $491 movement on USDJPY within 4 hours following the release of Inflation Rate YoY.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in Canada, we expect a 71 pip movement on USDJPY within 4 hours following the event release at 2025-05-20 12:30. We expect USDJPY to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-05-20 12:30 if the released value is > 1.6%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

19 Nov 13:30
25 Jun 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a 53 pip movement on RTY within 2 hours following the event release.

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