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We expect a $4774 movement on MW within 2 hours following the release of ISM Manufacturing PMI.

We expect MW to trend upwards later today. Based on these past United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 49.8. A price movement of 31 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

02 Dec 15:00
01 Apr 14:00
01 Feb 15:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $194 movement on USDJPY within 4 hours following the event release at 2025-02-03 15:00.

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