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We expect a 46 pip movement on HE within 4 hours following the event release.

Based on the last 12 BoE Interest Rate Decision events in United Kingdom, we expect HE to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect HE to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-09-18 11:00 if the released value is = 4%. A price movement of 46 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 Aug 11:00
08 May 11:02
20 Mar 12:00
19 Dec 12:00
07 Nov 12:00
20 Jun 11:00
09 May 11:00
21 Mar 12:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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