We expect a $456001 movement on ES within 12 hours following the release of Existing Home Sales at 2023-03-21 14:00. We expect ES to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 2023-03-21 14:00 if the released value is > 4.2M. A price movement of 11325 pips is expected.
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
18 Nov 15:00 |
20 Oct 14:00 |
21 Sep 14:00 |
21 Jun 14:00 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).