Based on the last 12 Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prel events in United States, we expect ES to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect ES to trend upwards 12 hours following the event release at 2025-07-18 14:00 if the released value is > 61.5. A price movement of 281 pips is expected.
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
13 Jun 14:00 |
08 Nov 15:00 |
13 Sep 14:00 |
16 Aug 14:00 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
