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We expect a 40 pip movement on NZDUSD within 2 hours following the event release.

Based on past United Kingdom Inflation Rate YoY news events there is a 75% chance of NZDUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 10%. A price movement of 40 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Aug 06:00
20 Jul 06:00
13 Apr 06:00
23 Mar 07:00
19 Jan 07:00
17 Nov 07:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $12707 movement on S within 4 hours following the event release at 2022-10-19 06:00.

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