We expect a 4 pip movement on ZC within 4 hours following the event release.

We expect ZC to trend downwards later today. Based on these past Australia Inflation Rate YoY news events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 2.9%. A price movement of 4 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

31 Jan 00:30

26 Jul 01:30

27 Oct 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).