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We expect a $399 movement on USDCAD within 4 hours following the release of ISM Manufacturing PMI.

Based on past United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news events there is a 77.78% chance of USDCAD trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 47.5. A price movement of 56 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Nov 14:00
01 Oct 14:00
03 Sep 14:00
01 Aug 14:00
01 Jul 14:00
03 Jun 14:00
01 May 14:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect GF to trend upwards today with a 66.67% chance.

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