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We expect a 39 pip movement on ZC for the next 48 hours.

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Germany, we could see ZC trend downwards right now. Based on historical events there is a 80% chance of this. This may happen because the released value is > €14.8B

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

09 Oct 06:00
08 Jul 06:00
05 Feb 07:00
08 Jan 07:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $320 movement on EURUSD within 48 hours following the event release at 2025-01-09 07:00.

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