We expect a $33,997,600 movement on NIY within 12 hours following the release of ECB Interest Rate Decision at 22 Apr 11:45. We expect NIY to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 22 Apr 11:45 if the released value is = 0%. A price movement of 116,750 pips is expected.
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
11 Mar 12:45 |
21 Jan 12:45 |
10 Dec 12:45 |
29 Oct 12:45 |
10 Sep 11:45 |
04 Jun 11:45 |
30 Apr 11:45 |
12 Mar 12:45 |
23 Jan 12:45 |
24 Oct 11:45 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
