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We expect a $326 movement on USDCAD within 2 hours following the event release at 2025-08-05 12:30.

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Canada, we expect a 45 pip movement on USDCAD within 2 hours following the event release at 2025-08-05 12:30. We expect USDCAD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 2025-08-05 12:30 if the released value is < C$-5.8B Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 Jun 12:30
03 Apr 12:30
05 Dec 13:30
05 Nov 13:30
04 Sep 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect TN to trend downwards today with a 71.43% chance.

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