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We expect a 31 pip movement on USDCHF within 4 hours following the event release.

Based on the last 12 Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index events in United States, we expect a 31 pip movement on USDCHF within 4 hours following the event release at 19 Sep 12:30 UTC. We expect USDCHF to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 19 Sep 12:30 UTC if the released value is < 11 Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 Apr 12:30
21 Feb 13:30
20 Dec 13:30
15 Nov 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a 20 pip movement on AUDUSD within 12 hours following the event release.

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We expect NIY to trend upwards today with a 75% chance.

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