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We expect a 31 pip movement on USDCAD within 4 hours following the event release.

Based on the last 12 PPI Input YoY events in United Kingdom, we expect a 31 pip movement on USDCAD within 4 hours following the event release at 16 Oct 08:30 UTC. We expect USDCAD to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 16 Oct 08:30 UTC if the released value is > -1.8%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

19 Jun 08:30
16 Jan 09:30
19 Dec 09:30
14 Nov 09:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect USDCAD to trend downwards today with a 75% chance.

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We expect a $0.016 movement on RB within 2 hours following the event release at 16 Oct 08:30.

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