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We expect a 304 pip movement on UB within 48 hours following the event release.

Based on past United States Retail Sales MoM news events there is a 75% chance of UB trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is > -0.1%. A price movement of 304 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Feb 13:30
15 Sep 12:30
15 Jul 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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Esperamos que el UB adopte una tendencia descendente a última hora de hoy. Basándonos en los últimos eventos de Ventas Al Por Menor – Variación Mensual en Estados Unidos, hay un 75% de probabilidad de que todo ello suceda.

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