We expect a $13423500 movement on NIY within 4 hours following the release of Inflation Rate YoY Prel at 2025-09-30 12:00. We expect NIY to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-09-30 12:00 if the released value is > 2.3%. A price movement of 300 pips is expected.
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
29 Aug 12:00 |
31 Jul 12:00 |
30 May 12:00 |
30 Apr 12:00 |
30 Oct 13:00 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
