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We expect a 27 pip movement on NZDUSD within 12 hours following the event release.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Prel events in Germany, we expect a 27 pip movement on NZDUSD within 12 hours following the event release at 28 Nov 13:00 UTC. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 28 Nov 13:00 UTC if the released value is < 1.3% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Sep 12:00
29 Aug 12:00
28 Mar 13:00
28 Dec 13:00
29 Nov 13:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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