Based on the last 12 Retail Sales MoM events in United Kingdom, we expect a 25 pip movement on EURUSD within 4 hours following the event release at 2025-07-25 06:00. We expect EURUSD to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-07-25 06:00 if the released value is > 1.2%
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
28 Mar 07:00 |
21 Feb 07:00 |
18 Oct 06:00 |
20 Sep 06:00 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
