We expect ZB to trend downwards later today. Based on these past Germany Inflation Rate YoY Prel news events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 7.4%. A price movement of 173 pips is expected.
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
30 May 12:00 |
28 Apr 12:00 |
30 Mar 12:00 |
06 Jan 13:00 |
29 Nov 13:00 |
28 Oct 12:00 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
