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We expect a $214461 movement on ES within the next 2 hours.

Based on past United States Non Farm Payrolls news events there is a 75% chance of ES trending upwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is > 200K. A price movement of 141 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 Jul 12:30
07 Jun 12:30
05 Apr 12:30
08 Mar 13:30
05 Jan 13:30
08 Dec 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect YM to trend downwards today with a 80% chance.

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