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We expect a $21.935 movement on FV within 48 hours following the event release at 19 Oct 23:50.

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Japan, we expect a $21.935 movement on FV within 48 hours following the event release at 19 Oct 23:50. We expect FV to trend upwards 48 hours following the event release at 19 Oct 23:50 if the released value is > ¥-519.2B

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

19 May 23:50
18 Apr 23:50
16 Feb 23:50
17 Nov 23:50

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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