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We expect a $189 movement on BO within 48 hours following the event release at 2025-07-30 08:00.

Based on the last 12 GDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv events in Italy, we expect BO to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect BO to trend upwards 48 hours following the event release at 2025-07-30 08:00 if the released value is < 0.2%. A price movement of 329 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Jan 09:00
30 Oct 09:00
31 Jul 08:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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