Based on the last 12 Fed Interest Rate Decision events in United States, we expect a 183 pip movement on GF within 2 hours following the event release at 2023-05-03 18:00. We expect GF to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 2023-05-03 18:00 if the released value is = 5.25%
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
22 Mar 18:00 |
02 Nov 18:00 |
21 Sep 18:00 |
27 Jul 18:00 |
04 May 18:00 |
16 Mar 18:00 |
26 Jan 19:00 |
15 Dec 19:00 |
03 Nov 18:00 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
