Based on the last 12 Ivey PMI s.a events in Canada, we expect NIY to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 87.5% chance of this. We expect NIY to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 2025-09-05 14:00 if the released value is < 53.1. A price movement of 1740 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
06 May 14:00 |
08 Apr 14:00 |
06 Feb 15:00 |
07 Jan 15:00 |
06 Dec 15:00 |
06 Nov 15:00 |
06 Sep 14:00 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
