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We expect a 140 pip movement on UB within 12 hours following the event release.

Based on the last 12 GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prel events in Japan, we expect UB to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. We expect UB to trend upwards 12 hours following the event release at 2022-08-14 23:50 if the released value is < 0.6%. A price movement of 140 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

14 Nov 23:50
17 May 23:50
16 Aug 23:50
16 Feb 23:50
13 Nov 23:50

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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