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We expect a $140 movement on EURUSD within 4 hours following the event release at 2024-11-12 00:30.

Based on the last 12 NAB Business Confidence events in Australia, we expect EURUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect EURUSD to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 2024-11-12 00:30 if the released value is > 2. A price movement of 14 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

09 Jul 01:30
12 Mar 00:30
23 Jan 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $702611 movement on ES within 48 hours following the event release at 2024-11-12 00:30.

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