Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Germany, we expect a 1350 pip movement on RTY within 4 hours following the event release at 2023-04-28 07:55. We expect RTY to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 2023-04-28 07:55 if the released value is = 5.6%
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
02 Nov 08:55 |
30 Sep 07:55 |
31 Aug 07:55 |
31 May 07:55 |
03 May 07:55 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).